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Address
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Weekend: 10AM - 5PM
Steelmakers are hoping for a Hot Rolled Steel Prices decline. This is based on a survey of steel users by the SMU School of Business. A majority of respondents believe that Hot Rolled Steel Prices have peaked and will hit a peak within 50 cents of the current average price. The price increase has already fueled increased demand for the commodity, but the outlook remains bleak. In fact, the trend toward a higher steel price is likely to continue through the rest of the year.
The broader market price of steel influences the prices of downstream steel materials. For example, the price of flour affects the cost of bread, but does not affect the price of a hot rolled coil. Other factors that influence downstream steel prices include energy, labor, and transport costs. These are factors that must be analyzed to determine the future price of steel. However, the trend isn’t as bleak as it first appeared.
While the Hot Rolled Steel Prices is a determining factor in the price of raw materials, the economy also plays a role. The recent economic slowdown has affected steel demand. While the global economy has improved, demand for steel is still relatively weak. According to the SMU study, overcapacity in flat-rolled products could result in a price drop this year. The average lead time for hot-rolled products is four to five weeks. The latest data indicate that the lead time for hot-rolled steel has dropped to under nine weeks, which suggests a lowering of prices this year.
Despite the current low price of steel, it is unclear when the price will stabilize. The SMU survey of manufacturing executives showed that 80% believed that hot-rolled steel prices had reached their peak and would fall back to earth. Therefore, it’s unlikely that the price will stay at such high levels for long. The firm lowered its target for U.S. Steel in May. The trend is downward, and the market is currently regaining momentum.
The heightened Hot Rolled Steel Prices is causing a shortage of raw materials. Due to the shortage of raw materials, the mills are not able to make the metal that consumers need. In addition, lead times are still too long, as they are unable to produce the material fast enough. The resulting delay in delivery will force producers to raise prices. If the lead time drops to nine weeks, rolled steel prices will likely be even lower.
While there is a correlation between the price of steel and the price of other materials, the two are not correlated. For example, the price of flour influences the cost of bread, but does not determine the final price of a hot rolled steel coil. The latter’s pricing is determined by energy, labor and transport costs. These factors are all affecting the cost of the material. This is why the price of steel has fluctuated so much this year.